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Studies that compare
pregnancy outcomes must have an adequate number of subjects to detect a
difference between the exposed group and a control group. As the the
table below illustrates large sample sizes are necessary to show a
twofold increase in adverse pregnancy outcomes. To detect smaller
differences requires a larger sample size. To
detect moderately common birth defects such as cleft lip or palate
requires a sample size that is prohibitive for most controlled studies.
Sample Sizes
Necessary to Detect a Two Fold (100%) Increase In Selected
Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes (80% power, 5% Level of Significance)
Outcome |
Denominator |
Population
rate |
Number of
Exposed Pregnancies Needed |
Spontaneous Abortion |
Enrolled
Pregnancies |
15/100 |
266 |
Low Birth Weight |
Live Births |
10/100 |
261 |
Fetal Death |
Live births
plus fetal deaths |
3/100 |
684 |
Any major birth defect |
Live Births |
3/100 |
684 |
Cardiovascular defect |
Live Births |
1/115 |
2196 |
Cleft lip with or without
palate |
Live births |
1/930 |
17311 |
Stickler syndrome
(or other rare birth defect) |
Live births |
1/10000 |
185,539 |
Adapted from: Draft Guidance for Industry
on Establishing Pregnancy Registries . U.S. Department of health
and Human Services June , 1999.
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